Le Toux's eighth goal helps Union tie Revolution

Soccer Betting Lines

07/31/2010 - Chester, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Sebastien Le Toux scored his eighth goal of the season in the first half, but the Philadelphia Union settled for a 1-1 draw on Saturday at PPL Park against the New England Revolution.

Marko Perovic equalized Le Toux's goal in the second half on goal that took an awkward bounce over a diving Union goalkeeper Chris Seitz, as the Revolution earned just their second road result of the season.

Philadelphia (4-8-3) had dropped points at home in Major League Soccer matches just twice, with three wins and a draw in five previous matches.

New England (4-9-4) had lost six straight on the road. The Revs only previous road result was a 2-0 victory in April over D.C. United, which has the worst record in MLS.

Sainey Nyassi had an early chance for New England but shot just wide left from the right side of the area in the 14th minute.

Le Toux, who started Wednesday's 5-2 loss to Manchester United in the MLS All- Star game, put Philadelphia in front less than 10 minutes later with a perfect shot into the upper-right corner.

The Union used a nice series of passes, with Le Toux eventually playing the ball in from left to rookie Danny Mwanga at the top of the area. Mwanga tried to open space and the ball slipped away from him, allowing Le Toux to rush in and unleash an 18-yard shot that left New England goalie Matt Reis no chance.

Perovic fired a free kick just over the bar in the 41st and Le Toux had a free kick tipped over the bar by Reis in first-half injury time as both sides ended the half with good scoring chances.

New England didn't waste another free kick midway through the second half, and Perovic curled a shot from well outside the area past a stunned Seitz. Perovic drove the long shot around the Union's wall and it took a bounce in the box to hop over Seitz at the left post in the 70th.

Perovic nearly put the Revolution in front in the 84th, but missed the upper- left corner from 18 yards.

Philadelphia ended the game with three good scoring chances but Michael Orozco Fiscal was denied by Reis in the 86th, Le Toux had an open shot deflected in the 88th, and Le Toux turned a header wide of the left post in extra time.

The Revolution and Union remain level on points near the bottom of the Eastern Conference, well off the pace of the first-place Columbus Crew.

Philadelphia hosts Columbus on Thursday to start a two-match week. New England hosts D.C. United on Aug. 7 in its next match.

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Sportsbooks to bet on football

Recently I had an email debate with an angry reader who said I did not understand "the science of oddsmaking", as he called it.

He said I was wrong for suggesting oddsmakers care about who wins or loses games.

"Oddsmakers only care about splitting the betting public 50/50 on both sides of the line and keeping the commission (a.k.a. juice)," he wrote.

He might have been right about not understanding "the science of oddsmaking". After all, I'm not an oddsmaker. That said, I stick to my assertion that oddsmakers (a.k.a. sportbooks) often do care about who wins games.

Granted, as a general rule, sportsbooks try to balance their action so that they're not exposed to big losses. However, there are times when this is difficult to pull off, regardless of how much a line has moved. There are also times when that general rule is ignored and a book pursues risk.

Generally speaking, it's safe to say the books in Vegas are risk-adverse. Unlike in the past when the wise guys ruled the town, Vegas is now corporate and the goal of most casinos is to make as much money as possible with as little risk as possible.

Thus, Vegas sportsbooks try everything in their power to balance the action. They're satisfied simply collecting the juice. But these profits are small, especially compared to the take from other casino games, namely slot machines.

Because the profits at Vegas sportsbooks are so small, you could argue that many casinos operate sportsbooks simply as a novelty to keep the tourists happy.

With a growing aversion to risk, it should come as no surprise that Vegas bookmakers have been panicking this NFL season.

Despite huge pointspreads, a disproportionate percentage of bettors are still laying their money on favorites like the Eagles, Colts, Pats and Vikings rather than the dogs (a common trend for the largely recreational bettors that visit Vegas).

And much to the dismay of the books, those favorites are finding ways to cover the thick chalk. In fact, prior to Week 7, the four teams listed above are a combined 16-2-2 (88 percent) against the spread. (The tables turned dramatically in Week 7, but more on that later.)

The result has been an early-season beating for the books, and a bonanza for bettors.

While Vegas increasingly hates risk, it's no longer a major player in the sports betting world. Most of the betting action now takes place offshore where sportsbooks are not as obsessed about balance. In fact, some books encourage exposure to risk because the rewards can be so much bigger.

Consider MySportsbook.com. On its website, the book has odds pages which actually display the amount of action it's getting on games. In other words, you can see how much action the book is taking on both sides of a pointspread, moneyline or over/under.

One look at these numbers and it's obvious MySportsbook.com does not balance every game. In fact, far from it.

Take last weekend's matchup between St. Louis and Miami. By game time on Sunday, 83 percent of the betting action at MySportsbook.com was on the Rams; only 17 percent was on Miami.

What's interesting is that MySportsbook.com opened the pointspread with Miami at +6 1/2. By game time, the spread had lowered to +5.

That goes contrary to the balancing theory. If MySportsbook.com had wanted to balance the action, it would have given Miami more points; instead, it took away 1 1/2. World Series odds are now up as well.

MySportsbook.com exposed itself to even more to risk, and rolled the dice on the underdog Dolphins. Why? I contacted a representative with the book to find out. His answer was simple.

"The line moved early based on 'smart money' from sharp players," said Jeff Gilroy, a spokesperson for the book. "We also knew from early in the week that we would need Miami, therefore (we dropped) the spread to encourage Rams money.

"At the end of the day, we liked the home team."

So the conclusion is this: MySportsbook.com respected the sharp action, and gambled that the sharp bettors had a better take on the game than the recreational bettors, who were hammering the visiting Rams.

In the end, the gamble paid off. Miami, desperate for a win in front of its home fans, pounded the overrated Rams, who are terrible on the road and even worse on grass. Final score: 31-14 Fish.

MySportsbook.com was also heavily exposed on numerous favorites in Week 7, including Philadelphia, Seattle and Denver. All three failed to cover.

The fact that sportsbooks are exposed to risk on certain games is really nothing new. The fact, that Sportsbook.com is willing to show the public where it's exposed is intriguing.

Armed with this type of information, bettors can make more educated wagers. They can get an idea where the sharp money is going and conversely where the public money is headed.

MySportsbook.com is opening up its cashbox, letting bettors look inside and challenging them to take their best shot at grabbing the cash.

To visit this online football betting got to MySportsbook.com for all your football betting odds needs. Mysportsbook.com online sportsbook accepts Visa and Mastercard credit cards.

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